Head to head · season 2026/27 · Serie A
Atalanta vs Milan
Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Sunday 21 March at 18:00, Italian time.
Atalanta
Milan14Points24
4-2-5Won-drawn-lost7-3-1
1.3Points per match2.2
17Goals for23
20Goals against13
2Clean sheets3
WLDDLFormWWLWW
—Current run2 wins in a row
3-1-2 · 10 ptsAt home (W-D-L)4-0-1 · 12 pts
1-1-3 · 4 ptsAway (W-D-L)3-3-0 · 12 pts
22.8 in 14Expected goals for (xG)23.3 in 15
22.7Expected goals against (xG)21.6
6.77Average player rating6.71
Nikola Krstovic (7)Top scorerAdrien Rabiot (5)
This season's meetings
- 18 OctMilan 3-2 AtalantaSerie A
The data forecast
for Atalanta v Milan on Sunday 21 MarchAtalanta v MilanArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Atalanta 29%draw 22%Milan 49%
Most likely score1-110% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver63% over · 37% under
Both teams to scoreYes63% yes
Goals the model expects1.38 – 1.86Atalanta – Milan
Poisson model on 11 matches for Atalanta and 11 for Milan, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.
Previous meetings
every match in the archive6Atalanta wins
4draws
5Milan wins
15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Atalanta 22, Milan 22 · 2.9 per match
- 18 Oct 2026Milan3-2AtalantaSerie A
- 10 May 2026Milan2-3AtalantaSerie A
- 28 Oct 2025Atalanta1-1MilanSerie A
- 20 Apr 2025Milan0-1AtalantaSerie A
- 6 Dec 2024Atalanta2-1MilanSerie A
- 25 Feb 2024Milan1-1AtalantaSerie A
- 10 Jan 2024Milan1-2AtalantaCoppa Italia
- 9 Dec 2023Atalanta3-2MilanSerie A
- 26 Feb 2023Milan2-0AtalantaSerie A
- 21 Aug 2022Atalanta1-1MilanSerie A
- 15 May 2022Milan2-0AtalantaSerie A
- 3 Oct 2021Atalanta2-3MilanSerie A
and 3 older ones.
Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.