ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · laliga

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Sunday 4 April at 19:00, Italian time.

Atletico Madrid2nd in laligavsReal Madrid4th in laliga
16Points15
5-1-1Won-drawn-lost5-0-2
2.3Points per match2.1
16Goals for18
7Goals against8
3Clean sheets1
WWWLWFormLWWLW
3 wins in a rowCurrent run—
3-1-0 · 10 ptsAt home (W-D-L)3-0-0 · 9 pts
2-0-1 · 6 ptsAway (W-D-L)2-0-2 · 6 pts
12.9 in 8Expected goals for (xG)21.4 in 8
8.7Expected goals against (xG)9.5
6.79Average player rating7.00
Álex Baena (4)Top scorerKylian Mbappe (7)

This season's meetings

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid, Sunday 4 April at 19:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid on Sunday 4 April
Real Madrid v Atletico MadridArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Real Madrid 52%draw 22%Atletico Madrid 26%
Most likely score1-110% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver64% over · 36% under
Both teams to scoreYes64% yes
Goals the model expects1.96 – 1.35Real Madrid – Atletico Madrid

Poisson model on 7 matches for Real Madrid and 7 for Atletico Madrid, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
5Atletico Madrid wins
4draws
6Real Madrid wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Atletico Madrid 28, Real Madrid 27 · 3.7 per match

  1. 20 Sept 2026Atletico Madrid2-1Real MadridLaLiga
  2. 22 Mar 2026Real Madrid3-2Atletico MadridLaLiga
  3. 8 Jan 2026Atletico Madrid1-2Real MadridSuper Cup
  4. 27 Sept 2025Atletico Madrid5-2Real MadridLaLiga
  5. 12 Mar 2025Atletico Madrid1-0Real MadridUEFA Champions League
  6. 4 Mar 2025Real Madrid2-1Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League
  7. 8 Feb 2025Real Madrid1-1Atletico MadridLaLiga
  8. 29 Sept 2024Atletico Madrid1-1Real MadridLaLiga
  9. 4 Feb 2024Real Madrid1-1Atletico MadridLaLiga
  10. 18 Jan 2024Atletico Madrid4-2Real MadridCopa del Rey
  11. 10 Jan 2024Real Madrid5-3Atletico MadridSuper Cup
  12. 24 Sept 2023Atletico Madrid3-1Real MadridLaLiga

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.