ARENA RETE
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Head to head · season 2026/27 · Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 20 February at 18:00, Italian time.

Bayer Leverkusen6th in BundesligavsMainz 059th in Bundesliga
13Points10
4-1-3Won-drawn-lost3-1-4
1.6Points per match1.3
18Goals for17
16Goals against17
2Clean sheets3
LLWWWFormLLWLW
2 defeats in a rowCurrent run2 defeats in a row
3-0-1 · 9 ptsAt home (W-D-L)0-1-3 · 1 pts
1-1-2 · 4 ptsAway (W-D-L)3-0-1 · 9 pts
31.6 in 13Expected goals for (xG)21.2 in 10
17.2Expected goals against (xG)14.6
6.99Average player rating6.84
Patrik Schick (7)Top scorerPhillip Tietz (5)

This season's meetings

Bayer Leverkusen v Mainz 05, Saturday 20 February at 18:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Bayer Leverkusen v Mainz 05 on Saturday 20 February
Bayer Leverkusen v Mainz 05Arena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Bayer Leverkusen 55%draw 19%Mainz 05 26%
Most likely score2-18% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver79% over · 21% under
Both teams to scoreYes75% yes
Goals the model expects2.50 – 1.72Bayer Leverkusen – Mainz 05

Poisson model on 8 matches for Bayer Leverkusen and 8 for Mainz 05, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
10Bayer Leverkusen wins
3draws
2Mainz 05 wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Bayer Leverkusen 30, Mainz 05 18 · 3.2 per match

  1. 10 Oct 2026Mainz 053-4Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
  2. 28 Feb 2026Bayer Leverkusen1-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  3. 18 Oct 2025Mainz 053-4Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
  4. 17 May 2025Mainz 052-2Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
  5. 14 Jan 2025Bayer Leverkusen1-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  6. 23 Feb 2024Bayer Leverkusen2-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  7. 30 Sept 2023Mainz 050-3Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
  8. 19 Feb 2023Bayer Leverkusen2-3Mainz 05Bundesliga
  9. 27 Aug 2022Mainz 050-3Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
  10. 18 Feb 2022Mainz 053-2Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
  11. 25 Sept 2021Bayer Leverkusen1-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  12. 13 Feb 2021Bayer Leverkusen2-2Mainz 05Bundesliga

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.