ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Birmingham vs Derby

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 13 February at 16:00, Italian time.

Birmingham10th in ChampionshipvsDerby22nd in Championship
11Points5
2-5-1Won-drawn-lost1-2-5
1.4Points per match0.6
12Goals for7
11Goals against14
1Clean sheets1
DWLDDFormDLLLW
—Current runwinless in 4
0-4-0 · 4 ptsAt home (W-D-L)0-1-3 · 1 pts
2-1-1 · 7 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-1-2 · 4 pts
13.2 in 8Expected goals for (xG)8.3 in 8
10.8Expected goals against (xG)14.9
6.75Average player rating6.59
—Top scorer—

This season's meetings

Birmingham v Derby, Saturday 13 February at 16:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Birmingham v Derby on Saturday 13 February
Birmingham v DerbyArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Birmingham 61%draw 21%Derby 18%
Most likely score1-010% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver57% over · 43% under
Both teams to scoreYes54% yes
Goals the model expects1.99 – 0.97Birmingham – Derby

Poisson model on 8 matches for Birmingham and 8 for Derby, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
3Birmingham wins
4draws
8Derby wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Birmingham 17, Derby 28 · 3 per match

  1. 12 Sept 2026Derby1-2BirminghamChampionship
  2. 21 Mar 2026Derby1-0BirminghamChampionship
  3. 26 Dec 2025Birmingham1-1DerbyChampionship
  4. 30 Jan 2022Derby2-2BirminghamChampionship
  5. 10 Sept 2021Birmingham2-0DerbyChampionship
  6. 24 Apr 2021Derby1-2BirminghamChampionship
  7. 29 Dec 2020Birmingham0-4DerbyChampionship
  8. 22 Jul 2020Birmingham1-3DerbyChampionship
  9. 28 Sept 2019Derby3-2BirminghamChampionship
  10. 19 Apr 2019Birmingham2-2DerbyChampionship
  11. 3 Nov 2018Derby3-1BirminghamChampionship
  12. 13 Jan 2018Birmingham0-3DerbyChampionship

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.