ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Birmingham vs Derby

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Friday 12 February at 21:00, Italian time.

Birmingham1st in ChampionshipvsDerby23rd in Championship
29Points10
8-5-2Won-drawn-lost2-4-9
1.9Points per match0.7
28Goals for14
14Goals against30
5Clean sheets1
WWWLWFormWLLDL
3 wins in a rowCurrent run—
4-4-0 · 16 ptsAt home (W-D-L)1-2-5 · 5 pts
4-1-2 · 13 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-2-4 · 5 pts
26.5 in 15Expected goals for (xG)15.2 in 15
19.4Expected goals against (xG)28.3
6.87Average player rating6.60
August Priske (6)Top scorer—

This season's meetings

Birmingham v Derby, Friday 12 February at 21:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Birmingham v Derby on Friday 12 February
Birmingham v DerbyArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Birmingham 74%draw 16%Derby 10%
Most likely score2-012% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver62% over · 38% under
Both teams to scoreYes50% yes
Goals the model expects2.42 – 0.80Birmingham – Derby

Poisson model on 15 matches for Birmingham and 15 for Derby, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
3Birmingham wins
4draws
8Derby wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Birmingham 17, Derby 28 · 3 per match

  1. 12 Sept 2026Derby1-2BirminghamChampionship
  2. 21 Mar 2026Derby1-0BirminghamChampionship
  3. 26 Dec 2025Birmingham1-1DerbyChampionship
  4. 30 Jan 2022Derby2-2BirminghamChampionship
  5. 10 Sept 2021Birmingham2-0DerbyChampionship
  6. 24 Apr 2021Derby1-2BirminghamChampionship
  7. 29 Dec 2020Birmingham0-4DerbyChampionship
  8. 22 Jul 2020Birmingham1-3DerbyChampionship
  9. 28 Sept 2019Derby3-2BirminghamChampionship
  10. 19 Apr 2019Birmingham2-2DerbyChampionship
  11. 3 Nov 2018Derby3-1BirminghamChampionship
  12. 13 Jan 2018Birmingham0-3DerbyChampionship

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.