ARENA RETEIT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 20 February at 16:00, Italian time.

11Points15
2-5-1Won-drawn-lost4-3-1
1.4Points per match1.9
12Goals for16
11Goals against12
1Clean sheets1
DWLDDFormDDWWD
—Current run2 draws in a row
0-4-0 · 4 ptsAt home (W-D-L)3-1-0 · 10 pts
2-1-1 · 7 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-2-1 · 5 pts
13.2 in 8Expected goals for (xG)15.8 in 8
10.8Expected goals against (xG)9.2
6.75Average player rating6.85
—Top scorerWill Lankshear (6)

This season's meetings

Middlesbrough v Birmingham, Saturday 20 February at 16:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Middlesbrough v Birmingham on Saturday 20 February
Middlesbrough v BirminghamArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Middlesbrough 53%draw 22%Birmingham 25%
Most likely score1-110% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver62% over · 38% under
Both teams to scoreYes62% yes
Goals the model expects1.94 – 1.27Middlesbrough – Birmingham

Poisson model on 8 matches for Middlesbrough and 8 for Birmingham, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
3Birmingham wins
2draws
10Middlesbrough wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Birmingham 13, Middlesbrough 24 · 2.5 per match

  1. 19 Sept 2026Birmingham2-2MiddlesbroughChampionship
  2. 2 Mar 2026Birmingham1-3MiddlesbroughChampionship
  3. 8 Nov 2025Middlesbrough2-1BirminghamChampionship
  4. 12 Mar 2024Birmingham0-1MiddlesbroughChampionship
  5. 21 Oct 2023Middlesbrough1-0BirminghamChampionship
  6. 2 Jan 2023Birmingham1-3MiddlesbroughChampionship
  7. 5 Oct 2022Middlesbrough1-0BirminghamChampionship
  8. 15 Mar 2022Birmingham0-2MiddlesbroughChampionship
  9. 30 Oct 2021Middlesbrough0-2BirminghamChampionship
  10. 16 Jan 2021Middlesbrough0-1BirminghamChampionship
  11. 19 Dec 2020Birmingham1-4MiddlesbroughChampionship
  12. 21 Jan 2020Middlesbrough1-1BirminghamChampionship

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.