ARENA RETE
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Head to head · season 2026/27 · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 9 January at 18:00, Italian time.

Borussia Dortmund2nd in BundesligavsMainz 058th in Bundesliga
18Points10
5-3-0Won-drawn-lost3-1-4
2.3Points per match1.3
14Goals for17
6Goals against17
5Clean sheets3
DWDDWFormLLWLW
unbeaten in 8Current run2 defeats in a row
3-1-0 · 10 ptsAt home (W-D-L)0-1-3 · 1 pts
2-2-0 · 8 ptsAway (W-D-L)3-0-1 · 9 pts
23.7 in 13Expected goals for (xG)21.2 in 10
17.1Expected goals against (xG)14.6
6.96Average player rating6.84
Fábio Silva (3)Top scorerPhillip Tietz (5)

This season's meetings

They have not met yet this season: the first time is Saturday 9 January.
Borussia Dortmund v Mainz 05, Saturday 9 January at 18:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Borussia Dortmund v Mainz 05 on Saturday 9 January
Borussia Dortmund v Mainz 05Arena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Borussia Dortmund 57%draw 21%Mainz 05 22%
Most likely score2-110% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver65% over · 35% under
Both teams to scoreYes63% yes
Goals the model expects2.09 – 1.25Borussia Dortmund – Mainz 05

Poisson model on 8 matches for Borussia Dortmund and 8 for Mainz 05, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
8Borussia Dortmund wins
3draws
4Mainz 05 wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Borussia Dortmund 27, Mainz 05 18 · 3 per match

  1. 13 Feb 2026Borussia Dortmund4-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  2. 27 Sept 2025Mainz 050-2Borussia DortmundBundesliga
  3. 30 Mar 2025Borussia Dortmund3-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  4. 9 Nov 2024Mainz 053-1Borussia DortmundBundesliga
  5. 11 May 2024Mainz 053-0Borussia DortmundBundesliga
  6. 19 Dec 2023Borussia Dortmund1-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  7. 27 May 2023Borussia Dortmund2-2Mainz 05Bundesliga
  8. 25 Jan 2023Mainz 051-2Borussia DortmundBundesliga
  9. 16 Mar 2022Mainz 050-1Borussia DortmundBundesliga
  10. 16 Oct 2021Borussia Dortmund3-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  11. 16 May 2021Mainz 051-3Borussia DortmundBundesliga
  12. 16 Jan 2021Borussia Dortmund1-1Mainz 05Bundesliga

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.