ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Burnley vs Derby

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 20 February at 16:00, Italian time.

Burnley24th in ChampionshipvsDerby22nd in Championship
4Points5
0-4-4Won-drawn-lost1-2-5
0.5Points per match0.6
9Goals for7
17Goals against14
0Clean sheets1
DLDLDFormDLLLW
winless in 8Current runwinless in 4
0-3-1 · 3 ptsAt home (W-D-L)0-1-3 · 1 pts
0-1-3 · 1 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-1-2 · 4 pts
9.5 in 8Expected goals for (xG)8.3 in 8
13Expected goals against (xG)14.9
6.53Average player rating6.59
—Top scorer—

This season's meetings

Derby v Burnley, Saturday 20 February at 16:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Derby v Burnley on Saturday 20 February
Derby v BurnleyArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Derby 43%draw 25%Burnley 32%
Most likely score1-112% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver53% over · 47% under
Both teams to scoreYes57% yes
Goals the model expects1.53 – 1.28Derby – Burnley

Poisson model on 8 matches for Derby and 8 for Burnley, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
9Burnley wins
5draws
0Derby wins

14 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Burnley 24, Derby 8 · 2.3 per match

  1. 19 Sept 2026Burnley1-1DerbyChampionship
  2. 26 Aug 2025Burnley2-1DerbyEFL Cup
  3. 8 Apr 2025Derby0-0BurnleyChampionship
  4. 10 Dec 2024Burnley0-0DerbyChampionship
  5. 25 Jan 2016Burnley4-1DerbyChampionship
  6. 21 Sept 2015Derby0-0BurnleyChampionship
  7. 1 Mar 2014Burnley2-0DerbyChampionship
  8. 31 Aug 2013Derby0-3BurnleyChampionship
  9. 26 Dec 2012Burnley2-0DerbyChampionship
  10. 22 Sept 2012Derby1-2BurnleyChampionship
  11. 21 Jan 2012Burnley0-0DerbyChampionship
  12. 27 Aug 2011Derby1-2BurnleyChampionship

and 2 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.