ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Cardiff vs Derby

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Tuesday 2 March at 20:45, Italian time.

Cardiff14th in ChampionshipvsDerby23rd in Championship
18Points10
4-6-5Won-drawn-lost2-4-9
1.2Points per match0.7
27Goals for14
27Goals against30
1Clean sheets1
WDLWDFormWLLDL
—Current run—
4-4-0 · 16 ptsAt home (W-D-L)1-2-5 · 5 pts
0-2-5 · 2 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-2-4 · 5 pts
30.1 in 15Expected goals for (xG)15.2 in 15
25.4Expected goals against (xG)28.3
6.80Average player rating6.60
Jack Moylan (10)Top scorer—

This season's meetings

Cardiff v Derby, Tuesday 2 March at 20:45The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Cardiff v Derby on Tuesday 2 March
Cardiff v DerbyArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Cardiff 68%draw 17%Derby 15%
Most likely score2-19% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver70% over · 30% under
Both teams to scoreYes62% yes
Goals the model expects2.51 – 1.11Cardiff – Derby

Poisson model on 15 matches for Cardiff and 15 for Derby, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
7Cardiff wins
4draws
4Derby wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Cardiff 21, Derby 18 · 2.6 per match

  1. 22 Aug 2026Derby2-2CardiffChampionship
  2. 25 Jan 2025Cardiff2-1DerbyChampionship
  3. 14 Sept 2024Derby1-0CardiffChampionship
  4. 7 May 2022Derby0-1CardiffChampionship
  5. 1 Mar 2022Cardiff1-0DerbyChampionship
  6. 2 Mar 2021Cardiff4-0DerbyChampionship
  7. 28 Oct 2020Derby1-1CardiffChampionship
  8. 14 Jul 2020Cardiff2-1DerbyChampionship
  9. 13 Sept 2019Derby1-1CardiffChampionship
  10. 24 Apr 2018Derby3-1CardiffChampionship
  11. 30 Sept 2017Cardiff0-0DerbyChampionship
  12. 14 Feb 2017Derby3-4CardiffChampionship

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.