ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Cardiff vs Derby

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Tuesday 2 March at 20:45, Italian time.

Cardiff21st in ChampionshipvsDerby22nd in Championship
6Points5
1-3-3Won-drawn-lost1-2-5
0.9Points per match0.6
9Goals for7
11Goals against14
0Clean sheets1
WLDLLFormDLLLW
—Current runwinless in 4
1-2-0 · 5 ptsAt home (W-D-L)0-1-3 · 1 pts
0-1-3 · 1 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-1-2 · 4 pts
14.4 in 7Expected goals for (xG)8.3 in 8
10.8Expected goals against (xG)14.9
6.82Average player rating6.59
Jack Moylan (3)Top scorer—

This season's meetings

Cardiff v Derby, Tuesday 2 March at 20:45The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Cardiff v Derby on Tuesday 2 March
Cardiff v DerbyArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Cardiff 60%draw 21%Derby 19%
Most likely score2-110% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver60% over · 40% under
Both teams to scoreYes57% yes
Goals the model expects2.06 – 1.05Cardiff – Derby

Poisson model on 7 matches for Cardiff and 8 for Derby, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
7Cardiff wins
4draws
4Derby wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Cardiff 21, Derby 18 · 2.6 per match

  1. 22 Aug 2026Derby2-2CardiffChampionship
  2. 25 Jan 2025Cardiff2-1DerbyChampionship
  3. 14 Sept 2024Derby1-0CardiffChampionship
  4. 7 May 2022Derby0-1CardiffChampionship
  5. 1 Mar 2022Cardiff1-0DerbyChampionship
  6. 2 Mar 2021Cardiff4-0DerbyChampionship
  7. 28 Oct 2020Derby1-1CardiffChampionship
  8. 14 Jul 2020Cardiff2-1DerbyChampionship
  9. 13 Sept 2019Derby1-1CardiffChampionship
  10. 24 Apr 2018Derby3-1CardiffChampionship
  11. 30 Sept 2017Cardiff0-0DerbyChampionship
  12. 14 Feb 2017Derby3-4CardiffChampionship

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.