ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Derby vs Middlesbrough

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 5 December at 13:30, Italian time.

Derby23rd in ChampionshipvsMiddlesbrough3rd in Championship
6Points22
1-3-7Won-drawn-lost6-4-1
0.5Points per match2
9Goals for22
20Goals against16
1Clean sheets2
LLDDLFormDWWDD
2 defeats in a rowCurrent rununbeaten in 9
0-2-4 · 2 ptsAt home (W-D-L)4-2-0 · 14 pts
1-1-3 · 4 ptsAway (W-D-L)2-2-1 · 8 pts
10.7 in 11Expected goals for (xG)22 in 11
18.2Expected goals against (xG)11.3
6.61Average player rating6.87
—Top scorerWill Lankshear (9)

This season's meetings

They have not met yet this season: the first time is Saturday 5 December.
Middlesbrough v Derby, Saturday 5 December at 13:30The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Middlesbrough v Derby on Saturday 5 December
Middlesbrough v DerbyArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Middlesbrough 70%draw 18%Derby 12%
Most likely score2-011% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver62% over · 38% under
Both teams to scoreYes52% yes
Goals the model expects2.32 – 0.87Middlesbrough – Derby

Poisson model on 11 matches for Middlesbrough and 11 for Derby, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
5Derby wins
4draws
6Middlesbrough wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Derby 16, Middlesbrough 19 · 2.3 per match

  1. 1 Jan 2026Derby1-0MiddlesbroughChampionship
  2. 29 Nov 2025Middlesbrough2-1DerbyChampionship
  3. 1 Mar 2025Middlesbrough1-0DerbyChampionship
  4. 17 Aug 2024Derby1-0MiddlesbroughChampionship
  5. 12 Feb 2022Middlesbrough4-1DerbyChampionship
  6. 21 Aug 2021Derby0-0MiddlesbroughChampionship
  7. 13 Feb 2021Derby2-1MiddlesbroughChampionship
  8. 25 Nov 2020Middlesbrough3-0DerbyChampionship
  9. 11 Jan 2020Middlesbrough2-2DerbyChampionship
  10. 2 Nov 2019Derby2-0MiddlesbroughChampionship
  11. 1 Jan 2019Derby1-1MiddlesbroughChampionship
  12. 27 Oct 2018Middlesbrough1-1DerbyChampionship

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.