ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Derby vs Stoke City

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 17 October at 16:00, Italian time.

Derby22nd in ChampionshipvsStoke City7th in Championship
5Points13
1-2-5Won-drawn-lost4-1-3
0.6Points per match1.6
7Goals for13
14Goals against12
1Clean sheets2
DLLLWFormWWDWW
winless in 4Current run2 wins in a row
0-1-3 · 1 ptsAt home (W-D-L)3-0-1 · 9 pts
1-1-2 · 4 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-1-2 · 4 pts
8.3 in 8Expected goals for (xG)8 in 8
14.9Expected goals against (xG)12
6.59Average player rating6.78
—Top scorerEthan Galbraith (3)

This season's meetings

They have not met yet this season: the first time is Saturday 17 October.
Derby v Stoke City, Saturday 17 October at 16:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Derby v Stoke City on Saturday 17 October
Derby v Stoke CityArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Derby 36%draw 25%Stoke City 39%
Most likely score1-112% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver51% over · 49% under
Both teams to scoreYes55% yes
Goals the model expects1.32 – 1.38Derby – Stoke City

Poisson model on 8 matches for Derby and 8 for Stoke City, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
6Derby wins
4draws
5Stoke City wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Derby 21, Stoke City 14 · 2.3 per match

  1. 6 Apr 2026Derby2-0Stoke CityChampionship
  2. 9 Aug 2025Stoke City3-1DerbyChampionship
  3. 3 May 2025Derby0-0Stoke CityChampionship
  4. 2 Nov 2024Stoke City2-1DerbyChampionship
  5. 22 Jul 2023Derby3-0Stoke CityClub Friendlies
  6. 30 Dec 2021Stoke City1-2DerbyChampionship
  7. 18 Sept 2021Derby2-1Stoke CityChampionship
  8. 20 Mar 2021Stoke City1-0DerbyChampionship
  9. 12 Dec 2020Derby0-0Stoke CityChampionship
  10. 31 Jan 2020Derby4-0Stoke CityChampionship
  11. 17 Aug 2019Stoke City2-2DerbyChampionship
  12. 13 Mar 2019Derby0-0Stoke CityChampionship

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.