ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Derby vs Stoke City

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 16 January at 13:30, Italian time.

Derby23rd in ChampionshipvsStoke City3rd in Championship
10Points29
2-4-9Won-drawn-lost9-2-4
0.7Points per match1.9
14Goals for24
30Goals against18
1Clean sheets5
WLLDLFormWWWDW
—Current run3 wins in a row
1-2-5 · 5 ptsAt home (W-D-L)4-1-2 · 13 pts
1-2-4 · 5 ptsAway (W-D-L)5-1-2 · 16 pts
15.2 in 15Expected goals for (xG)14.5 in 15
28.3Expected goals against (xG)21.9
6.60Average player rating6.77
—Top scorerJack McGlynn (5)

This season's meetings

Stoke City v Derby, Saturday 16 January at 13:30The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Stoke City v Derby on Saturday 16 January
Stoke City v DerbyArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Stoke City 60%draw 22%Derby 18%
Most likely score1-012% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver52% over · 48% under
Both teams to scoreYes50% yes
Goals the model expects1.86 – 0.90Stoke City – Derby

Poisson model on 15 matches for Stoke City and 15 for Derby, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
5Derby wins
4draws
6Stoke City wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Derby 18, Stoke City 15 · 2.2 per match

  1. 17 Oct 2026Derby0-1Stoke CityChampionship
  2. 6 Apr 2026Derby2-0Stoke CityChampionship
  3. 9 Aug 2025Stoke City3-1DerbyChampionship
  4. 3 May 2025Derby0-0Stoke CityChampionship
  5. 2 Nov 2024Stoke City2-1DerbyChampionship
  6. 22 Jul 2023Derby3-0Stoke CityClub Friendlies
  7. 30 Dec 2021Stoke City1-2DerbyChampionship
  8. 18 Sept 2021Derby2-1Stoke CityChampionship
  9. 20 Mar 2021Stoke City1-0DerbyChampionship
  10. 12 Dec 2020Derby0-0Stoke CityChampionship
  11. 31 Jan 2020Derby4-0Stoke CityChampionship
  12. 17 Aug 2019Stoke City2-2DerbyChampionship

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.