ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Derby vs Swansea

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 17 April at 16:00, Italian time.

Derby23rd in ChampionshipvsSwansea6th in Championship
10Points26
2-4-9Won-drawn-lost8-2-5
0.7Points per match1.7
14Goals for22
30Goals against18
1Clean sheets6
WLLDLFormLLWLL
—Current run2 defeats in a row
1-2-5 · 5 ptsAt home (W-D-L)4-2-1 · 14 pts
1-2-4 · 5 ptsAway (W-D-L)4-0-4 · 12 pts
15.2 in 15Expected goals for (xG)22.7 in 15
28.3Expected goals against (xG)20.3
6.60Average player rating6.72
—Top scorer—

This season's meetings

Swansea v Derby, Saturday 17 April at 16:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Swansea v Derby on Saturday 17 April
Swansea v DerbyArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Swansea 65%draw 20%Derby 15%
Most likely score2-011% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver57% over · 43% under
Both teams to scoreYes51% yes
Goals the model expects2.08 – 0.88Swansea – Derby

Poisson model on 15 matches for Swansea and 15 for Derby, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
6Derby wins
4draws
5Swansea wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Derby 17, Swansea 16 · 2.2 per match

  1. 29 Aug 2026Derby0-3SwanseaChampionship
  2. 14 Feb 2026Derby2-0SwanseaChampionship
  3. 25 Nov 2025Swansea1-2DerbyChampionship
  4. 5 Apr 2025Swansea1-0DerbyChampionship
  5. 27 Nov 2024Derby1-2SwanseaChampionship
  6. 9 Apr 2022Swansea2-1DerbyChampionship
  7. 2 Oct 2021Derby0-0SwanseaChampionship
  8. 1 May 2021Swansea2-1DerbyChampionship
  9. 16 Dec 2020Derby2-0SwanseaChampionship
  10. 8 Feb 2020Swansea2-3DerbyChampionship
  11. 10 Aug 2019Derby0-0SwanseaChampionship
  12. 1 May 2019Swansea1-1DerbyChampionship

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.