ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Derby vs Watford

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 28 November at 16:00, Italian time.

Derby23rd in ChampionshipvsWatford20th in Championship
6Points11
1-3-7Won-drawn-lost3-2-6
0.5Points per match1
9Goals for10
20Goals against19
1Clean sheets1
LLDDLFormWLLLL
2 defeats in a rowCurrent run—
0-2-4 · 2 ptsAt home (W-D-L)3-1-2 · 10 pts
1-1-3 · 4 ptsAway (W-D-L)0-1-4 · 1 pts
10.7 in 11Expected goals for (xG)12.5 in 11
18.2Expected goals against (xG)20.6
6.61Average player rating6.67
—Top scorerAmin Nabizada (3)

This season's meetings

They have not met yet this season: the first time is Saturday 28 November.
Derby v Watford, Saturday 28 November at 16:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Derby v Watford on Saturday 28 November
Derby v WatfordArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Derby 42%draw 26%Watford 32%
Most likely score1-113% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsUnder47% over · 53% under
Both teams to scoreYes52% yes
Goals the model expects1.38 – 1.19Derby – Watford

Poisson model on 11 matches for Derby and 11 for Watford, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
5Derby wins
1draws
9Watford wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Derby 23, Watford 27 · 3.3 per match

  1. 21 Feb 2026Watford2-0DerbyChampionship
  2. 22 Nov 2025Derby2-3WatfordChampionship
  3. 18 Jan 2025Derby0-2WatfordChampionship
  4. 24 Aug 2024Watford2-1DerbyChampionship
  5. 19 Feb 2021Watford2-1DerbyChampionship
  6. 16 Oct 2020Derby0-1WatfordChampionship
  7. 3 Apr 2015Derby2-2WatfordChampionship
  8. 22 Nov 2014Watford1-2DerbyChampionship
  9. 26 Apr 2014Derby4-2WatfordChampionship
  10. 19 Oct 2013Watford2-3DerbyChampionship
  11. 23 Feb 2013Watford2-1DerbyChampionship
  12. 1 Sept 2012Derby5-1WatfordChampionship

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.