ARENA RETEIT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Derby vs Wrexham

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 27 February at 16:00, Italian time.

10Points18
2-4-9Won-drawn-lost4-6-5
0.7Points per match1.2
14Goals for18
30Goals against20
1Clean sheets3
WLLDLFormDWLLW
—Current run—
1-2-5 · 5 ptsAt home (W-D-L)3-3-2 · 12 pts
1-2-4 · 5 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-3-3 · 6 pts
15.2 in 15Expected goals for (xG)17 in 15
28.3Expected goals against (xG)17.6
6.60Average player rating6.70
—Top scorerKieffer Moore (5)

This season's meetings

Wrexham v Derby, Saturday 27 February at 16:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Wrexham v Derby on Saturday 27 February
Wrexham v DerbyArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Wrexham 59%draw 23%Derby 18%
Most likely score1-013% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsUnder48% over · 52% under
Both teams to scoreNo48% yes
Goals the model expects1.74 – 0.86Wrexham – Derby

Poisson model on 15 matches for Wrexham and 15 for Derby, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
0Derby wins
2draws
1Wrexham wins

3 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Derby 3, Wrexham 4 · 2.3 per match

  1. 10 Oct 2026Derby1-1WrexhamChampionship
  2. 4 Jan 2026Derby1-2WrexhamChampionship
  3. 27 Sept 2025Wrexham1-1DerbyChampionship

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.