ARENA RETEIT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Serie C Group A

Desenzano vs Novara

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Sunday 7 March at 15:00, Italian time.

14Points14
3-5-6Won-drawn-lost3-5-6
1Points per match1
13Goals for12
18Goals against19
4Clean sheets2
DLLLLFormDLWLD
winless in 5Current run—
1-2-3 · 5 ptsAt home (W-D-L)1-3-3 · 6 pts
2-3-3 · 9 ptsAway (W-D-L)2-2-3 · 8 pts
16.3 in 15Expected goals for (xG)14.2 in 15
22.2Expected goals against (xG)20.8
6.54Average player rating6.44
—Top scorer—

This season's meetings

Desenzano v Novara, Sunday 7 March at 15:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Desenzano v Novara on Sunday 7 March
Desenzano v NovaraArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Desenzano 43%draw 29%Novara 28%
Most likely score1-014% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsUnder38% over · 62% under
Both teams to scoreNo44% yes
Goals the model expects1.26 – 0.95Desenzano – Novara

Poisson model on 14 matches for Desenzano and 14 for Novara, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
0Desenzano wins
0draws
1Novara wins

1 meeting in our data provider's archive · goals: Desenzano 0, Novara 1 · 1 per match

  1. 2 Nov 2026Novara1-0DesenzanoSerie C

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.