ARENA RETEIT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Serie A

Fiorentina vs Milan

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Tuesday 5 January at 20:45, Italian time.

4Points15
1-1-5Won-drawn-lost4-3-0
0.6Points per match2.1
8Goals for14
17Goals against7
0Clean sheets2
LLDWLFormWDWDD
2 defeats in a rowCurrent rununbeaten in 7
0-1-3 · 1 ptsAt home (W-D-L)3-0-0 · 9 pts
1-0-2 · 3 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-3-0 · 6 pts
14.7 in 9Expected goals for (xG)16.1 in 9
11.4Expected goals against (xG)10.1
6.69Average player rating6.84
Franco Mastantuono (3)Top scorerAdrien Rabiot (4)

This season's meetings

They have not met yet this season: the first time is Tuesday 5 January.
Milan v Fiorentina, Tuesday 5 January at 20:45The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Milan v Fiorentina on Tuesday 5 January
Milan v FiorentinaArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Milan 59%draw 21%Fiorentina 20%
Most likely score2-110% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver63% over · 37% under
Both teams to scoreYes60% yes
Goals the model expects2.11 – 1.15Milan – Fiorentina

Poisson model on 7 matches for Milan and 7 for Fiorentina, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
4Fiorentina wins
3draws
8Milan wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Fiorentina 20, Milan 24 · 2.9 per match

  1. 11 Jan 2026Fiorentina1-1MilanSerie A
  2. 19 Oct 2025Milan2-1FiorentinaSerie A
  3. 5 Apr 2025Milan2-2FiorentinaSerie A
  4. 6 Oct 2024Fiorentina2-1MilanSerie A
  5. 30 Mar 2024Fiorentina1-2MilanSerie A
  6. 25 Nov 2023Milan1-0FiorentinaSerie A
  7. 4 Mar 2023Fiorentina2-1MilanSerie A
  8. 13 Nov 2022Milan2-1FiorentinaSerie A
  9. 1 May 2022Milan1-0FiorentinaSerie A
  10. 20 Nov 2021Fiorentina4-3MilanSerie A
  11. 21 Mar 2021Fiorentina2-3MilanSerie A
  12. 29 Nov 2020Milan2-0FiorentinaSerie A

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.