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Head to head · season 2026/27 · Bundesliga

Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 30 January at 18:00, Italian time.

Hamburger SV15th in BundesligavsMainz 059th in Bundesliga
9Points10
3-0-5Won-drawn-lost3-1-4
1.1Points per match1.3
7Goals for17
19Goals against17
1Clean sheets3
LLWWWFormLLWLW
2 defeats in a rowCurrent run2 defeats in a row
2-0-1 · 6 ptsAt home (W-D-L)0-1-3 · 1 pts
1-0-4 · 3 ptsAway (W-D-L)3-0-1 · 9 pts
11.9 in 10Expected goals for (xG)21.2 in 10
16.9Expected goals against (xG)14.6
6.53Average player rating6.84
—Top scorerPhillip Tietz (5)

This season's meetings

Mainz 05 v Hamburger SV, Saturday 30 January at 18:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Mainz 05 v Hamburger SV on Saturday 30 January
Mainz 05 v Hamburger SVArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Mainz 05 73%draw 15%Hamburger SV 12%
Most likely score2-19% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver72% over · 28% under
Both teams to scoreYes61% yes
Goals the model expects2.72 – 1.05Mainz 05 – Hamburger SV

Poisson model on 8 matches for Mainz 05 and 8 for Hamburger SV, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
5Hamburger SV wins
4draws
6Mainz 05 wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Hamburger SV 20, Mainz 05 24 · 2.9 per match

  1. 6 Sept 2026Hamburger SV0-5Mainz 05Bundesliga
  2. 20 Feb 2026Mainz 051-1Hamburger SVBundesliga
  3. 5 Oct 2025Hamburger SV4-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  4. 3 Mar 2018Hamburger SV0-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  5. 14 Oct 2017Mainz 053-2Hamburger SVBundesliga
  6. 7 May 2017Hamburger SV0-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  7. 17 Dec 2016Mainz 053-1Hamburger SVBundesliga
  8. 30 Apr 2016Mainz 050-0Hamburger SVBundesliga
  9. 5 Dec 2015Hamburger SV1-3Mainz 05Bundesliga
  10. 3 May 2015Mainz 051-2Hamburger SVBundesliga
  11. 7 Dec 2014Hamburger SV2-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  12. 10 May 2014Mainz 053-2Hamburger SVBundesliga

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.