ARENA RETE
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Head to head · season 2026/27 · Bundesliga

Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 5 December at 18:00, Italian time.

Mainz 058th in BundesligavsRB Leipzig4th in Bundesliga
10Points15
3-1-4Won-drawn-lost5-0-3
1.3Points per match1.9
17Goals for22
17Goals against11
3Clean sheets5
LLWLWFormWWLWL
2 defeats in a rowCurrent run2 wins in a row
0-1-3 · 1 ptsAt home (W-D-L)4-0-0 · 12 pts
3-0-1 · 9 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-0-3 · 3 pts
21.2 in 10Expected goals for (xG)31.6 in 13
14.6Expected goals against (xG)20.8
6.84Average player rating6.90
Phillip Tietz (5)Top scorerAntonio Nusa (4)

This season's meetings

They have not met yet this season: the first time is Saturday 5 December.
RB Leipzig v Mainz 05, Saturday 5 December at 18:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for RB Leipzig v Mainz 05 on Saturday 5 December
RB Leipzig v Mainz 05Arena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
RB Leipzig 67%draw 16%Mainz 05 17%
Most likely score2-18% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver80% over · 20% under
Both teams to scoreYes72% yes
Goals the model expects2.87 – 1.44RB Leipzig – Mainz 05

Poisson model on 8 matches for RB Leipzig and 8 for Mainz 05, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
6Mainz 05 wins
3draws
6RB Leipzig wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Mainz 05 19, RB Leipzig 31 · 3.3 per match

  1. 31 Jan 2026RB Leipzig1-2Mainz 05Bundesliga
  2. 13 Sept 2025Mainz 050-1RB LeipzigBundesliga
  3. 1 Mar 2025RB Leipzig1-2Mainz 05Bundesliga
  4. 19 Oct 2024Mainz 050-2RB LeipzigBundesliga
  5. 30 Mar 2024RB Leipzig0-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  6. 4 Nov 2023Mainz 052-0RB LeipzigBundesliga
  7. 1 Apr 2023RB Leipzig0-3Mainz 05Bundesliga
  8. 8 Oct 2022Mainz 051-1RB LeipzigBundesliga
  9. 8 Jan 2022RB Leipzig4-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  10. 15 Aug 2021Mainz 051-0RB LeipzigBundesliga
  11. 23 Jan 2021Mainz 053-2RB LeipzigBundesliga
  12. 20 Sept 2020RB Leipzig3-1Mainz 05Bundesliga

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.