ARENA RETE
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Head to head · season 2026/27 · Bundesliga

Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 23 January at 18:00, Italian time.

Mainz 058th in BundesligavsSC Paderborn 0712th in Bundesliga
10Points9
3-1-4Won-drawn-lost2-3-3
1.3Points per match1.1
17Goals for6
17Goals against9
3Clean sheets3
LLWLWFormDWDLW
2 defeats in a rowCurrent rununbeaten in 3
0-1-3 · 1 ptsAt home (W-D-L)2-0-2 · 6 pts
3-0-1 · 9 ptsAway (W-D-L)0-3-1 · 3 pts
21.2 in 10Expected goals for (xG)11.7 in 10
14.6Expected goals against (xG)17.3
6.84Average player rating6.83
Phillip Tietz (5)Top scorer—

This season's meetings

SC Paderborn 07 v Mainz 05, Saturday 23 January at 18:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for SC Paderborn 07 v Mainz 05 on Saturday 23 January
SC Paderborn 07 v Mainz 05Arena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
SC Paderborn 07 39%draw 25%Mainz 05 36%
Most likely score1-112% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver56% over · 44% under
Both teams to scoreYes59% yes
Goals the model expects1.50 – 1.41SC Paderborn 07 – Mainz 05

Poisson model on 8 matches for SC Paderborn 07 and 8 for Mainz 05, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
3Mainz 05 wins
2draws
0SC Paderborn 07 wins

5 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Mainz 05 11, SC Paderborn 07 3 · 2.8 per match

  1. 29 Aug 2026Mainz 050-0SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
  2. 29 Feb 2020Mainz 052-0SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
  3. 5 Oct 2019SC Paderborn 071-2Mainz 05Bundesliga
  4. 31 Jan 2015Mainz 055-0SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
  5. 24 Aug 2014SC Paderborn 072-2Mainz 05Bundesliga

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.