ARENA RETE
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Head to head · season 2026/27 · Bundesliga

Mainz 05 vs Schalke 04

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 27 February at 18:00, Italian time.

Mainz 058th in BundesligavsSchalke 0416th in Bundesliga
10Points6
3-1-4Won-drawn-lost1-3-4
1.3Points per match0.8
17Goals for4
17Goals against9
3Clean sheets3
LLWLWFormLDLLD
2 defeats in a rowCurrent runwinless in 5
0-1-3 · 1 ptsAt home (W-D-L)0-2-2 · 2 pts
3-0-1 · 9 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-1-2 · 4 pts
21.2 in 10Expected goals for (xG)12.6 in 10
14.6Expected goals against (xG)17.6
6.84Average player rating6.67
Phillip Tietz (5)Top scorer—

This season's meetings

Mainz 05 v Schalke 04, Saturday 27 February at 18:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Mainz 05 v Schalke 04 on Saturday 27 February
Mainz 05 v Schalke 04Arena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Mainz 05 67%draw 19%Schalke 04 14%
Most likely score2-010% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver62% over · 38% under
Both teams to scoreYes55% yes
Goals the model expects2.25 – 0.94Mainz 05 – Schalke 04

Poisson model on 8 matches for Mainz 05 and 8 for Schalke 04, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
3Mainz 05 wins
3draws
9Schalke 04 wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Mainz 05 12, Schalke 04 19 · 2.1 per match

  1. 17 Oct 2026Schalke 040-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  2. 5 May 2023Mainz 052-3Schalke 04Bundesliga
  3. 9 Nov 2022Schalke 041-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  4. 5 Mar 2021Schalke 040-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  5. 7 Nov 2020Mainz 052-2Schalke 04Bundesliga
  6. 16 Feb 2020Mainz 050-0Schalke 04Bundesliga
  7. 20 Sept 2019Schalke 042-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  8. 23 Feb 2019Mainz 053-0Schalke 04Bundesliga
  9. 29 Sept 2018Schalke 041-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  10. 9 Mar 2018Mainz 050-1Schalke 04Bundesliga
  11. 20 Oct 2017Schalke 042-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  12. 19 Mar 2017Mainz 050-1Schalke 04Bundesliga

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.