ARENA RETE
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Head to head · season 2026/27 · Bundesliga

Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 16 January at 18:00, Italian time.

Mainz 058th in BundesligavsStuttgart10th in Bundesliga
10Points9
3-1-4Won-drawn-lost3-0-5
1.3Points per match1.1
17Goals for14
17Goals against15
3Clean sheets1
LLWLWFormWLLWL
2 defeats in a rowCurrent run—
0-1-3 · 1 ptsAt home (W-D-L)1-0-2 · 3 pts
3-0-1 · 9 ptsAway (W-D-L)2-0-3 · 6 pts
21.2 in 10Expected goals for (xG)27.5 in 13
14.6Expected goals against (xG)23.2
6.84Average player rating6.93
Phillip Tietz (5)Top scorerErmedin Demirovic (5)

This season's meetings

They have not met yet this season: the first time is Saturday 16 January.
Stuttgart v Mainz 05, Saturday 16 January at 18:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Stuttgart v Mainz 05 on Saturday 16 January
Stuttgart v Mainz 05Arena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Stuttgart 48%draw 20%Mainz 05 32%
Most likely score2-18% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver79% over · 21% under
Both teams to scoreYes76% yes
Goals the model expects2.32 – 1.88Stuttgart – Mainz 05

Poisson model on 8 matches for Stuttgart and 8 for Mainz 05, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
2Mainz 05 wins
4draws
8Stuttgart wins

14 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Mainz 05 17, Stuttgart 30 · 3.4 per match

  1. 7 Mar 2026Mainz 052-2StuttgartBundesliga
  2. 29 Oct 2025Mainz 050-2StuttgartDFB-Pokal
  3. 26 Oct 2025Stuttgart2-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  4. 25 Jan 2025Mainz 052-0StuttgartBundesliga
  5. 31 Aug 2024Stuttgart3-3Mainz 05Bundesliga
  6. 11 Feb 2024Stuttgart3-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  7. 16 Sept 2023Mainz 051-3StuttgartBundesliga
  8. 21 May 2023Mainz 051-4StuttgartBundesliga
  9. 21 Jan 2023Stuttgart1-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  10. 16 Apr 2022Mainz 050-0StuttgartBundesliga
  11. 26 Nov 2021Stuttgart2-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  12. 29 Jan 2021Stuttgart2-0Mainz 05Bundesliga

and 2 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.