ARENA RETE
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Head to head · season 2026/27 · Bundesliga

Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Wednesday 3 March at 18:00, Italian time.

Mainz 058th in BundesligavsWerder Bremen5th in Bundesliga
10Points15
3-1-4Won-drawn-lost4-3-1
1.3Points per match1.9
17Goals for17
17Goals against14
3Clean sheets1
LLWLWFormWWDDW
2 defeats in a rowCurrent run2 wins in a row
0-1-3 · 1 ptsAt home (W-D-L)3-1-0 · 10 pts
3-0-1 · 9 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-2-1 · 5 pts
21.2 in 10Expected goals for (xG)18.1 in 10
14.6Expected goals against (xG)14.4
6.84Average player rating6.92
Phillip Tietz (5)Top scorerNiclas Füllkrug (9)

This season's meetings

Werder Bremen v Mainz 05, Wednesday 3 March at 18:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Werder Bremen v Mainz 05 on Wednesday 3 March
Werder Bremen v Mainz 05Arena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Werder Bremen 54%draw 20%Mainz 05 26%
Most likely score2-19% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver75% over · 25% under
Both teams to scoreYes72% yes
Goals the model expects2.32 – 1.60Werder Bremen – Mainz 05

Poisson model on 8 matches for Werder Bremen and 8 for Mainz 05, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
6Mainz 05 wins
2draws
7Werder Bremen wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Mainz 05 22, Werder Bremen 20 · 2.8 per match

  1. 24 Oct 2026Mainz 052-3Werder BremenBundesliga
  2. 15 Mar 2026Werder Bremen0-2Mainz 05Bundesliga
  3. 1 Nov 2025Mainz 051-1Werder BremenBundesliga
  4. 31 Jan 2025Werder Bremen1-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  5. 15 Sept 2024Mainz 051-2Werder BremenBundesliga
  6. 3 Feb 2024Mainz 050-1Werder BremenBundesliga
  7. 2 Sept 2023Werder Bremen4-0Mainz 05Bundesliga
  8. 8 Apr 2023Mainz 052-2Werder BremenBundesliga
  9. 15 Oct 2022Werder Bremen0-2Mainz 05Bundesliga
  10. 21 Apr 2021Werder Bremen0-1Mainz 05Bundesliga
  11. 19 Dec 2020Mainz 050-1Werder BremenBundesliga
  12. 20 Jun 2020Mainz 053-1Werder BremenBundesliga

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.