ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · Championship

Middlesbrough vs Stoke City

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Tuesday 13 October at 21:00, Italian time.

Middlesbrough3rd in ChampionshipvsStoke City7th in Championship
15Points13
4-3-1Won-drawn-lost4-1-3
1.9Points per match1.6
16Goals for13
12Goals against12
1Clean sheets2
DDWWDFormWWDWW
2 draws in a rowCurrent run2 wins in a row
3-1-0 · 10 ptsAt home (W-D-L)3-0-1 · 9 pts
1-2-1 · 5 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-1-2 · 4 pts
15.8 in 8Expected goals for (xG)8 in 8
9.2Expected goals against (xG)12
6.85Average player rating6.78
Will Lankshear (6)Top scorerEthan Galbraith (3)

This season's meetings

They have not met yet this season: the first time is Tuesday 13 October.
Stoke City v Middlesbrough, Tuesday 13 October at 21:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Stoke City v Middlesbrough on Tuesday 13 October
Stoke City v MiddlesbroughArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Stoke City 35%draw 24%Middlesbrough 41%
Most likely score1-111% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver59% over · 41% under
Both teams to scoreYes61% yes
Goals the model expects1.46 – 1.60Stoke City – Middlesbrough

Poisson model on 8 matches for Stoke City and 8 for Middlesbrough, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
7Middlesbrough wins
4draws
4Stoke City wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Middlesbrough 20, Stoke City 17 · 2.5 per match

  1. 21 Jan 2026Stoke City1-2MiddlesbroughChampionship
  2. 30 Sept 2025Middlesbrough0-0Stoke CityChampionship
  3. 25 Feb 2025Stoke City1-3MiddlesbroughChampionship
  4. 28 Sept 2024Middlesbrough2-0Stoke CityChampionship
  5. 27 Aug 2024Middlesbrough0-5Stoke CityEFL Cup
  6. 2 Mar 2024Stoke City2-0MiddlesbroughChampionship
  7. 28 Oct 2023Middlesbrough0-2Stoke CityChampionship
  8. 14 Mar 2023Middlesbrough1-1Stoke CityChampionship
  9. 17 Aug 2022Stoke City2-2MiddlesbroughChampionship
  10. 30 Apr 2022Middlesbrough3-1Stoke CityChampionship
  11. 11 Dec 2021Stoke City0-0MiddlesbroughChampionship
  12. 13 Mar 2021Middlesbrough3-0Stoke CityChampionship

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.