ARENA RETE
IT
Head to head · season 2026/27 · laliga

Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Two sides in the same league, read through the same numbers: who is ahead, who scores more, who keeps it tighter at the back. They meet on Saturday 10 October at 21:00, Italian time.

Real Madrid4th in laligavsVillarreal9th in laliga
15Points8
5-0-2Won-drawn-lost2-2-3
2.1Points per match1.1
18Goals for13
8Goals against12
1Clean sheets0
LWWLWFormWWLLL
—Current run2 wins in a row
3-0-0 · 9 ptsAt home (W-D-L)1-0-2 · 3 pts
2-0-2 · 6 ptsAway (W-D-L)1-2-1 · 5 pts
21.4 in 8Expected goals for (xG)16.3 in 7
9.5Expected goals against (xG)11.1
7.00Average player rating6.68
Kylian Mbappe (7)Top scorerPape Gueye (3)

This season's meetings

They have not met yet this season: the first time is Saturday 10 October.
Real Madrid v Villarreal, Saturday 10 October at 21:00The match page, with line-ups and the live score.Open →

The data forecast

for Real Madrid v Villarreal on Saturday 10 October
Real Madrid v VillarrealArena Rete's estimate from goals, expected goals, attack and defence in the league
Real Madrid 61%draw 19%Villarreal 20%
Most likely score2-19% on its own
Over or under 2.5 goalsOver73% over · 27% under
Both teams to scoreYes67% yes
Goals the model expects2.45 – 1.34Real Madrid – Villarreal

Poisson model on 7 matches for Real Madrid and 7 for Villarreal, actual goals and expected goals weighted equally; early in the season teams start from the league average. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

Previous meetings

every match in the archive
8Real Madrid wins
5draws
2Villarreal wins

15 meetings in our data provider's archive · goals: Real Madrid 30, Villarreal 19 · 3.3 per match

  1. 24 Jan 2026Villarreal0-2Real MadridLaLiga
  2. 4 Oct 2025Real Madrid3-1VillarrealLaLiga
  3. 15 Mar 2025Villarreal1-2Real MadridLaLiga
  4. 5 Oct 2024Real Madrid2-0VillarrealLaLiga
  5. 19 May 2024Villarreal4-4Real MadridLaLiga
  6. 17 Dec 2023Real Madrid4-1VillarrealLaLiga
  7. 8 Apr 2023Real Madrid2-3VillarrealLaLiga
  8. 19 Jan 2023Villarreal2-3Real MadridCopa del Rey
  9. 7 Jan 2023Villarreal2-1Real MadridLaLiga
  10. 12 Feb 2022Villarreal0-0Real MadridLaLiga
  11. 25 Sept 2021Real Madrid0-0VillarrealLaLiga
  12. 22 May 2021Real Madrid2-1VillarrealLaLiga

and 3 older ones.

Tables are rebuilt from league results (points deductions not included); expected goals and ratings come from our data provider, where it supplies them. More in head to head.